Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.028767 0.031540 0.034275 0.037169 0.040139 0.043094 0.046252
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.023513 0.028007 0.032548 0.037456 0.042585 0.047769 0.053386
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.019205 0.024798 0.030582 0.036944 0.043690 0.050587 0.058134
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.015927 0.022297 0.029029 0.036550 0.044622 0.052951 0.062132
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.013063 0.019975 0.027448 0.035922 0.045116 0.054680 0.065290
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.010871 0.018212 0.026327 0.035655 0.045873 0.056574 0.068505
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.009387 0.017134 0.025869 0.036026 0.047236 0.059037 0.072247
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.007435 0.015339 0.024496 0.035297 0.047325 0.060065 0.074391
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.006081 0.014160 0.023755 0.035211 0.048064 0.061744 0.077179
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.004753 0.012886 0.022831 0.034863 0.048465 0.063012 0.079484
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003511 0.011588 0.021810 0.034352 0.048641 0.063999 0.081446
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002090 0.009804 0.020106 0.032990 0.047819 0.063854 0.082147
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001540 0.009366 0.020178 0.033844 0.049657 0.066810 0.086420
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000851 0.008540 0.019753 0.034138 0.050902 0.069163 0.090095
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000176 0.007294 0.018703 0.033644 0.051220 0.070466 0.092604
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.006215 0.017789 0.033263 0.051629 0.071837 0.095155
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005102 0.016730 0.032654 0.051736 0.072841 0.097271
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004268 0.015989 0.032396 0.052220 0.074238 0.099792
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003806 0.015761 0.032755 0.053402 0.076398 0.103131
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002890 0.014722 0.032048 0.053307 0.077098 0.104838
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002334 0.014193 0.031965 0.053925 0.078584 0.107393
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001734 0.013492 0.031628 0.054220 0.079686 0.109505
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001152 0.012697 0.031133 0.054306 0.080533 0.111316